Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 5.054469 5.681916 6.366868 7.171715 8.093581 9.118839 10.348682
2025-01-05 4.120161 4.946114 5.917162 7.149228 8.679526 10.528943 12.950166
2025-01-12 3.510994 4.424617 5.559753 7.086230 9.104168 11.706732 15.359971
2025-01-19 2.944243 3.851141 5.026966 6.681590 8.979416 12.101318 16.739061
2025-01-26 2.663689 3.601196 4.863782 6.714669 9.402979 13.234682 19.235741
2025-02-02 2.498874 3.481267 4.850973 6.935962 10.093255 14.800573 22.552812
2025-02-09 2.334475 3.339687 4.785029 7.060644 10.638920 16.197443 25.785688
2025-02-16 2.184736 3.201426 4.704737 7.145853 11.120159 17.534300 29.091361
2025-02-23 2.052752 3.075223 4.626640 7.219273 11.579988 18.876326 32.581049
2025-03-02 1.875543 2.862837 4.394131 7.016771 11.553391 19.385342 34.641258
2025-03-09 1.745015 2.712266 4.244766 6.933130 11.713198 20.224617 37.416347
2025-03-16 1.628561 2.574471 4.103382 6.846728 11.853504 21.035635 40.240717
2025-03-23 1.586583 2.558008 4.165180 7.126448 12.700115 23.287124 46.377694
2025-03-30 1.497341 2.455211 4.072013 7.120095 13.013023 24.556025 50.681145
2025-04-06 1.408072 2.345237 3.956812 7.060799 13.214865 25.625088 54.722292
2025-04-13 1.274673 2.148651 3.673203 6.658483 12.693865 25.143776 55.154414
2025-04-20 1.217401 2.082860 3.619634 6.691581 13.056223 26.566374 60.300746
2025-04-27 1.190517 2.069529 3.660414 6.912045 13.830251 28.980956 68.307086
2025-05-04 1.152486 2.032760 3.654006 7.036248 14.411466 31.039669 75.802778
2025-05-11 1.112155 1.988695 3.629940 7.121125 14.914643 32.983604 83.372063
2025-05-18 1.073195 1.944429 3.601843 7.194258 15.398507 34.945620 91.382608
2025-05-25 1.006318 1.842047 3.451760 6.992548 15.225289 35.268512 94.763263
2025-06-01 0.957185 1.771192 3.359789 6.909234 15.321559 36.281582 100.385025